Dynamics of the labor force of the Krasnodar territory against the background of all-Russian trends

Issue № 2, 2022, article № 15, pages 102-109

Language: Russian

Original language title: ДИНАМИКА РАБОЧЕЙ СИЛЫ КРАСНОДАРСКОГО КРАЯ НА ФОНЕ ОБЩЕРОССИЙСКИХ ТЕНДЕНЦИЙ

Keywords: LABOR FORCE, UNEMPLOYMENT, REGIONAL INEQUALITY, COVID-19 PANDEMIC CRISIS, TIME SERIES, FORECAST

Abstract: The article discusses the dynamics and trends in the development of the labor force in the Russia over the past twenty years. Particular attention is paid to the impact on these dynamics of the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the effect achieved through government measures to support employment. In addition, the change in the gender structure of the country's workforce was analyzed, conclusions were drawn about a pronounced manifestation of population aging. Based on the analysis of empirical data provided by official statistics, the advantages of the Krasnodar Territory are highlighted, which, unlike many subjects of the Russia, manages to cope with crisis influences and continue to increase its labor potential. On the basis of the extrapolation method, a forecast is made of the number of the labor force in the region, which can be expected by 2030 while maintaining the observed trends.

Authors: Kozlovskaia Oksana Vladimirovna