Methodology for designing a regulator to minimize climatic risks of loss of economic availability of meat and meat products in low profitable populations of regions

Issue № 12, vol. 2, 2021, article № 7, pages 70-79

Section: Questions of methodology of economic research

Language: Russian

Original language title: МЕТОДОЛОГИЯ ПРОЕКТИРОВАНИЯ РЕГУЛЯТОРА, МИНИМИЗИРУЮЩЕГО КЛИМАТИЧЕСКИЕ РИСКИ УТРАТЫ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЙ ДОСТУПНОСТИ МЯСА И МЯСОПРОДУКТОВ В МАЛОДОХОДНЫХ ГРУППАХ НАСЕЛЕНИЯ РЕГИОНОВ

Keywords: AGRICULTURE, CLIMATE, MATHEMATICAL MODEL, REGULATION, MEAT CONSUMPTION, POVERTY, INCOME

Abstract: The article discusses topical issues of modeling the impact of climate change on the economy of meat production and related issues of the availability of meat products for the poorest population. The article presents an economic and mathematical model of regional markets for beef, pork, lamb and poultry meat, where the population with low per capita income acts as consumers. In this work, the authors have implemented the idea of perturbing the existing characteristics of stochastic processes in the external environment and the parameters that determine the state of the mathematical model. It is proposed to evaluate the efficiency and stability of the regulator built into the model in a series of statistical tests. The results of testing the presented methodology were carried out using the example of the Kostroma region for two climatic scenarios.

Authors: Siptits Stanislav Ottovich, Romanenko Irina Anatolevna, Evdokimova Natalia Egorovna