PROSPECTS FOR THE PRODUCTION OF FRUIT PRODUCTS TO ENSURE FOOD SECURITY

Issue № 7, 2024, article № 16, pages 166-179

Section: Economics of agribusiness sectors

Language: Russian

Original language title: ПЕРСПЕКТИВЫ ПРОИЗВОДСТВА ПРОДУКЦИИ ПЛОДОВОДСТВА В ЦЕЛЯХ ОБЕСПЕЧЕНИЯ ПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННОЙ БЕЗОПАСНОСТИ

Keywords: FRUITS AND BERRIES, FARM CATEGORIES, GROSS YIELD, YIELD, AREA UNDER PERENNIAL PLANTATIONS, STRUCTURE, CLUSTER ANALYSIS, REGIONAL DIFFERENTIATION

Abstract: In modern conditions, when the policy of import substitution is decisive, the task of developing fruit growing in our country, in every region, becomes especially urgent. The purpose of the article is to analyze and develop recommendations for the development of fruit growing in the Republic of Bashkortostan. The research methodology is presented by methods of calculation and analysis of relative statistical indicators of dynamics, comparison, methods of analysis and synthesis, calculation of trends, and the method of multidimensional cluster analysis. The volume of fruit and berry production in the republic varies from year to year. The construction of equations for production trends shows that the trend can be described by a parabola of the second (or higher degrees), which indicates a certain cyclical nature of fruit production in the republic for 2000-2023. The low value of the approximation value for each equation indicates the impossibility of constructing and calculating a stable forecast for the production of fruits and berries at the moment. Strategic actions to achieve a certain trend are proposed. Over the 5 intercensal years of the agricultural census (2016 and 2021), there has been a change in the structure of the placement of fruit and berry plantings, a certain specialization by farm category. The data reflect a kind of formation of the fruit growing industry in new conditions, after a fairly long period of chaotic changes, the post-Soviet orientation of the region's agriculture towards the cultivation of agricultural crops for field cultivation and forage production, rather than fruit growing, prove the need to develop state programs for the development of fruit growing. Cluster analysis showed that with proper care and scientifically based development of technologies for growing fruit and berry crops, the republic has significant potential for the development of fruit growing.

Authors: Gusmanov Rasul Uzbekovich, Salimova Guzel Anasovna, Lubova Tatyana Nikolaevna, KHashir Bella Olegovna, Zakarchevskii Oleg Vladimirovich