COGNITIVE MODEL OF STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE OIL AND FAT SUBCOMLEX CLUSTER IN THE REGION

Issue № 2, 2024, article № 19, pages 184-195

Section: Economics of agribusiness sectors

Language: Russian

Original language title: КОГНИТИВНАЯ МОДЕЛЬ СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКОГО РАЗВИТИЯ КЛАСТЕРА МАСЛОЖИРОВОГО ПОДКОМПЛЕКСА В РЕГИОНЕ

Keywords: CLUSTER, COGNITIVE MAP, COGNITIVE MODEL, CONCEPT, OIL AND FAT SUBCOMPLEX, DEVELOPMENT, RATIONAL FUNCTIONING, SUPPLY CHAINS, ECONOMIC AGENTS

Abstract: The relevance of the study is justified by the increase in the Saratov region in 2023 of the capacity for processing oilseeds by 500 thousand tons, the production of vegetable oils by 200 thousand tons and the need to solve the problem of providing raw materials (oilseeds). The purpose of the work is to build a cognitive model of the strategic development of the oil and fat subcomplex of the region based on the supply chain. In modern economic conditions of agricultural production, cognitive modeling technologies are actively developed and applied, but the issues of cognitive modeling of supply chains have not been sufficiently developed. The model proposed in the article involves the use of cognitive modeling technology to formalize semi-structured scenarios for the development of supply chains of participants in the oil and fat subcomplex of the region. The construction of a mathematical model using elements of set theory and linear algebra is justified. To achieve this goal, V.B. Silov’s fuzzy cognitive maps were used when constructing the model. Identification of the model was carried out by expert assignment of influence relations between pairs of concepts. Using a cognitive model, 10 scenarios for the directions of strategic development and rational functioning of the cluster were studied. The implementation of such a model in practice makes it possible to stabilize the functioning of the cluster and stimulate its development through a system of control influences using stabilization tools - concepts. The article describes modern methodological approaches to constructing cognitive maps in relation to agricultural production and processing industries.

Authors: Nesmyslenov Aleksandr Pavlovich