Strategic planning in the management of the development of agricultural sectors at the present stage

Issue № 10, 2022, article № 7, pages 64-77

Section: Management in the agricultural sector

Language: Russian

Original language title: СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКОЕ ПЛАНИРОВАНИЕ В УПРАВЛЕНИИ РАЗВИТИЕМ ОТРАСЛЕЙ СЕЛЬСКОГО ХОЗЯЙСТВА НА СОВРЕМЕННОМ ЭТАПЕ

Keywords: PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION, INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, AGRICULTURE, STRATEGIC PLANNING, DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO, HUMAN RESOURCES, MANAGEMENT EFFICIENCY

Abstract: In the new economic conditions, the agricultural sector is particularly in need of scientifically based forecasting of economic resources, including labor. Reasonable forecasts make it possible to adjust long-term and medium-term programs for the development of the industry in the territorial aspect, as well as to assess the prospects for development, to see various options for events starting from rural areas and ending with the macroregion. An important scientific and methodological imperative is analytical monitoring and forecasting of the necessary management personnel of organizations in the industry and the region, specialists with higher education for the sustainable development of agriculture. The development and substantiation of an up-to-date resource forecasting methodology corresponding to modern conditions of agricultural development is the most important task of agricultural policy and management of the industry. The article shows the author's methodology for forecasting the need for the number of specialists in the management of agriculture in the South Siberian macroregion, an economic model is constructed that allows assessing the need for managerial personnel in the medium term, taking into account the influence of external economic factors.

Authors: Semkin Aleksandr Grigorevich, Zadvorneva Evgeniia Pavlovna