CLIMATE - LIVESTOCK - FOOD SECURITY: FOREIGN EXPERIENCE IN MODELING RELATIONSHIP

DOI 10.33938/217-57

Issue № 7, 2021, article № 8, pages 57-66

Section: International relations and world agricultural experience

Language: Russian

Original language title: КЛИМАТ - ЖИВОТНОВОДСТВО - ПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННАЯ БЕЗОПАСНОСТЬ: ЗАРУБЕЖНЫЙ ОПЫТ МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЯ ВЗАИМОСВЯЗЕЙ

Keywords: MATHEMATICAL MODEL, FOOD SECURITY, CLIMATE, ANIMAL HUSBANDRY, AGRICULTURE

Abstract: The article provides an overview of the existing foreign mathematical models, in which the dependences linking the parameters of climate, animal husbandry and food security are assessed. It is shown that universal models have not yet been developed to quantify the global impact of warming on livestock productivity, since the existing modeling results are not applicable to other natural and climatic conditions. The authors believe that without including the dependence of livestock productivity on climate change in the food security forecasting model, the latter is underestimated. The performed review proves that all existing models of global and regional agri-food markets, including animal husbandry with an assessment of the supply of sectoral products, do not have built-in regulators as a method of developing compensatory measures to increase the level of food supply for the population.

Authors: Siptits Stanislav Ottovich, Romanenko Irina Anatolevna, Evdokimova Natalia Egorovna