RUSSIA'S GRAIN EXPORT POTENTIAL: STATE, PROBLEMS AND GROWTH RISKS
Issue № 11, 2019, article № 18, pages 159-167
Section: Economics of agribusiness sectors
Language: Russian
Original language title: ЭКСПОРТНЫЙ ЗЕРНОВОЙ ПОТЕНЦИАЛ РОССИИ: СОСТОЯНИЕ, ПРОБЛЕМЫ И РИСКИ РОСТА
Keywords: RUSSIAN GRAIN ECONOMY, GRAIN PRODUCTION AND EXPORT VOLUMES, EXPORT GRAIN POTENTIAL, GRAIN TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE, PROBLEMS, RISKS, PROSPECTS FOR EXPORT GROWTH
Abstract: In Russian Federation, high gross grain harvests, especially wheat, in recent years exceeding domestic needs by almost 1.5 times and forming the country's main export grain potential, necessitate timely, preventable spoilage, sale of surplus grain to importing countries, of which there are over 130 items, of which 11 countries are purchasing over 1.0 million tons of Russian grain, mainly wheat of the 4th and 5th classes. At the same time, the strategic importance and the need to build up the country's grain export potential is to realize the existing and perspective advantages of the Russian agricultural economy, including the international division of labor, which helps domestic grain enter the world grain market and accelerate economic growth. The relevance of this work lies in a systematic analysis of the current state of grain production and export in Russia over the past three years and export-oriented transport grain infrastructure, identifying its shortcomings and development directions that significantly affect the timely implementation of the country's grain export potential. Positive conditions are formulated for the formation of export grain potential with the participation of the state. The aim of the study is to identify and generalize the existing organizational and economic problems and possible risks that impede the increase in export volumes of grain based on the analysis. Target indicators of grain production and export under various scenarios planned by the Government of Russia in 2024 and practical measures for their implementation are presented. The main results of the study are reasonable prerequisites for the further development of domestic grain production and growth of its export potential due to a number of objective factors cited.
Authors: Bykov Gennadii Evgenevich