PROBLEMS OF MEDIUM-TERM FORECAST OF YIELD AND THE POSSIBILITY OF THEIR EFFECTIVE SOLUTION IN THE PRODUCTION OF GRAIN

DOI 10.33938/1911-56

Issue № 11, 2019, article № 7, pages 56-62

Section: Questions of methodology of economic research

Language: Russian

Original language title: ПРОБЛЕМЫ СРЕДНЕСРОЧНОГО ПРОГНОЗА УРОЖАЙНОСТИ И ВОЗМОЖНОСТИ ЭФФЕКТИВНОГО ИХ РЕШЕНИЯ ПРИ ПРОИЗВОДСТВЕ ЗЕРНА

Keywords: CROPS, SOWING AREA, FORECASTING, MODEL, YIELD, FORECAST ACCURACY, FORECAST QUALITY

Abstract: The long-term experience of forecasting according to the author’s model, which provides the minimum discrepancy between the actual and forecasted grain yields in agricultural organizations of the Krasnodar Territory, is summarized as the scientific basis for planning the structure of sown areas and managing grain production.

Authors: Prudnikov Anatolii Grigorevich, Trubilin Aleksandr Ivanovich, Logoida Timofei Vladimirovich