Methods of forecasting the development of agricultural land use

Issue № 8, 2019, article № 7, pages 62-67

Section: Questions of methodology of economic research

Language: Russian

Original language title: МЕТОДИКА ПОСТРОЕНИЯ ПРОГНОЗА РАЗВИТИЯ СЕЛЬСКОХОЗЯЙСТВЕННОГО ЗЕМЛЕПОЛЬЗОВАНИЯ

Keywords: AGRICULTURAL LAND USE, DEVELOPMENT FORECAST, SCENARIO METHOD, DIGITAL PARAMETER, TARGET INDICATOR

Abstract: The transformation of land relations, and in the first place, the limited agricultural land, requires a radical solution to the problems of forecasting the development of the agricultural land use system, with the goal of optimal use of land resources and as the production basis of the country's food security. Therefore, the forecasting of the development of the agricultural land use system should be aimed at increasing the volume of agricultural production, and the forecasting results should be economically justified and optimal in terms of the efficiency of land use. Building a forecast for the development of an agricultural land use system is based on setting digital parameters of the system’s state depending on the targets, principles of development of this system, and also depends on the agro-climatic environmental conditions over time and provides for various options for the economic development of land users.

Authors: ZHuikov Vasilii Ivanovich, Sofina Elena Vasilevna, SHipunova Mariia Vasilevna