A COMPREHENSIVE SWOT ANALYSIS OF THE RUSSIAN MINERAL FERTILIZER MARKET: THE REALITY OF 2025 AND AN ASSESSMENT OF PROSPECTS

Issue № 1, 2026, article № 11, pages 105-126

Section:

Language: Russian

Original language title: КОМПЛЕКСНЫЙ SWOT-АНАЛИЗ ИНФРАСТРУКТУРЫ РОССИЙСКОГО РЫНКА МИНЕРАЛЬНЫХ УДОБРЕНИЙ: РЕАЛИИ 2025 ГОДА И ОЦЕНКА ПЕРСПЕКТИВ

Keywords: DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES, GLOBAL MARKET, GOVERNMENT SUPPORT, COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES, MINERAL FERTILIZER, REGULATION, RISKS, RUSSIA MARKET, SANCTION, WEAKNESSES, THREATS

Abstract: This article presents the results of a comprehensive SWOT analysis of the Russian mineral fertilizer market, focusing on the current situation through 2025 and assessing the industry's medium-term development prospects. Using a combination of methods and diverse data sources, the author systematizes the key internal and external factors influencing the market. The strengths and weaknesses of domestic production (resource base, technological equipment, production costs, logistics, and export potential) were identified. Opportunities for growth through supply diversification and expansion into new markets, deeper processing, and expanded government support were analyzed. The main threats, including increased sanctions pressure, increased price volatility for raw materials and finished products, increased competition, stricter environmental regulations, and a number of others, were assessed. Based on the SWOT analysis, strategic recommendations were formulated for market participants and regulators: optimization of export-import flows, increased investment in modernization to improve production technology, infrastructure development, and adaptation to new carbon regulation standards. The results of the study can be useful for agrochemical company executives, investors, government agencies, and researchers to make informed decisions in conditions of high uncertainty.

Authors: Shkurkin Sergey Ivanovich