MULTIDIMENSIONAL ANALYSIS OF THE WORLD NITROGEN FERTILIZER MARKET

Issue № 10, 2024, article № 9, pages 89-101

Section: Material and technical base of the agro-industrial complex

Language: Russian

Original language title: МНОГОМЕРНЫЙ АНАЛИЗ МИРОВОГО РЫНКА АЗОТНЫХ МИНЕРАЛЬНЫХ УДОБРЕНИЙ

Keywords: NITROGEN MINERAL FERTILIZERS, BARRIERS TO ENTRY INTO THE INDUSTRY, COMPETITION, MARKET CONCENTRATION, WORLD MARKET, SANCTIONS, TRADE RESTRICTIONS, FORECAST, PRICES, EXPORT AND IMPORT

Abstract: The article is devoted to the global market of nitrogen mineral fertilizers and the transformations in its functioning taking place against the background of increasing general geopolitical tension. In order to conduct a comprehensive assessment, the indicators characterizing the volumes of production and consumption of nitrogen fertilizers, as well as the value of export and import commodity flows, were analyzed. The parameters of provision and availability of the main types of raw materials for the production of this group of fertilizers are assessed in detail, the basis of the production process, intermediate and final products, factors and conditions of production placement, capital intensity and timing of construction of production facilities, the scale and type of market, pricing policy, access to the market for new players and the presence of entry barriers, the balance of supply and demand are analyzed. Particular attention is paid to the analysis of the development of competition in the market and the level of its concentration, as well as the identification of the main players. In conclusion, a short- and medium-term forecast is given regarding the prices of nitrogen fertilizers and the volumes of their production and consumption in the world.

Authors: Avarskii Nabi Dalgatovich, Bogachev Aleksandr Ivanovich, Shkurkin Sergey Ivanovich