Яндекс.Метрика

DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION IN RURAL AREAS: ASSESSMENT AND PROSPECTS


DOI 10.33938/2310-164

Issue № 10, 2023, article № 19, pages 164-176

Section: Labor Economics in AIC

Language: Russian

Original language title: ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКАЯ СИТУАЦИЯ НА СЕЛЬСКИХ ТЕРРИТОРИЯХ: ОЦЕНКА И ПЕРСПЕКТИВЫ

Keywords: DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES, NATURAL DECLINE, MIGRATION OUTFLOW, LIFE EXPECTANCY, FORECAST, FERTILITY, MORTALITY, STRATEGIC GOALS

Abstract: The article analyzes the current demographic situation in rural areas of Russia. The contribution to the dynamics of the rural population for 2015-2022 is estimated natural and migration growth, administrative and territorial transformations. Special attention is paid to the study of natural attrition as the main factor in the reduction of the rural population at the present hysterical stage. On the basis of the index method, its component analysis was carried out, the influence of age-related fertility and mortality rates, the gender and age structure of the population was assessed. The forecast estimates of the dynamics of the rural population for the next 10-15 years and targets in this area are presented, the implementation of which requires an active socio-economic and demographic policy in rural areas

Authors: Bondarenko Liudmila Vasilevna, Arkhangelskiy Vladimir Nikolaevich